Weekly Sports Analytics News Roundup – September 4th, 2018
Football: Football Perspective analyzes Rushing Production And Number of Carries The Previous Season. Fancy Stats’ 2018 NFL Preview: Playoff projections and records for every team. FiveThirtyEight says The NFL Is No League For Old Men. Football Outsiders on Carson Wentz and the ACL Return Timetable. Football Perspective lists The Worst Fumble Luck In 2017.
College Football: Football Study Hall’s 3 overrated college football teams for 2018 by preseason analytics. FiveThirtyEight writes Don’t Expect College Football’s Elite Programs To Stop Hogging All The Playoff Spots. Football Study Hall: You’re more likely to score after a punt. Why?
Baseball: Nate Freiman at FanGraphs examines Which Pitchers Are Doubling Up to Start an At-Bat. FiveThirtyEight says Baseball Positions Are Starting To Lose Their Meaning. Beyond the Box Score says the Championship Leverage Index is the metric of choice for watching pennant race baseball. Brian Reiff at Bill James Online finds Shifting is at an all-time high. FanGraphs on The Most Important Thing About Clutch. The Hardball Times identifies Zero WAR Hitters.
Basketball: Nylon Calculus looks at Grading front office competence by Draft, SRS, and CHAOS. NBA Math’s Hack-a-Shaq Math: The Numbers Behind the Strategy. Nylon Calculus finds Timing is everything, except in the 2018 NBA free agency market. Nylon Calculus tries to answer When can we start calling somebody a ‘future Hall-of-Famer’?
College Basketball: Bart Torvik put together raw historical data for 4 of the 5 NET components (according to reports). Darryl Blackport added a shot quality stat to his site that models that factors in shot location and play context from play-by-play data.
Soccer: American Soccer Analysis on The Next Level of xG: Expected Possession Goals. StatsBomb Introduces xGChain and xGBuildup and Explains xGChain Passing Networks. FiveThirtyEight says The Premier League Is Finally Paying For Goalkeepers — But The Best Is Still A Bargain.
Tennis: Heavy Topspin on Gerald Melzer’s 28-Point Hold, and Other Interminable Deuce Games. Stephanie Kovalchik writes that the 2015 US Open Still The Most Brutal in Tennis History.
General: Michael Lopez posts part 2 in a series on Lessons hidden in sports betting markets.
Your moment of R: @GraphsWithCode shows their code to analyze Catcher Defense with Linear Mixed Effect Models.
Conferences: The Workshop on Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics September 10-14 in Dublin. The 4th annual Football Analytics and Performance Summit is being hosted September 12-13 in Prague. The Ottawa Hockey Analytics Conference will be held September 14-15 in Ottawa. On September 24th in Durham (NC), the SPEIA Basketball Analytics Summit.